EUR/GBP – 0.8640

 
Recent wave: Major double three (A)-(B)-(C)-(X)-(A)-(B)-(C) is unfolding and 2nd (A) has possibly ended at 0.6936.

Trend: Near term down

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Original strategy  :

Buy at 0.8550, Target: 0.8650, Stop: 0.8510

Position : –

Target :  –

Stop : –

New strategy  :

Buy at 0.8550, Target: 0.8650, Stop: 0.8510

Position : –

Target :  –

Stop : –

 
Although the single currency rose briefly to 0.8670, lack of follow through buying and current retreat suggest consolidation would be seen and pullback to 0.8600 cannot be ruled out, however, reckon downside would be limited to 0.8570-75 and support at 0.8547 should hold, bring another rise later, above said resistance at 0.8670 would extend the rise from 0.8403 low towards 0.8700-10 but reckon upside would be limited and price should falter well below 0.8740-50, risk from there is seen for a retreat to take place later.

In view of this, would not chase this rise here and we are looking to buy euro on pullback as 0.8550 should limit downside. Below support at 0.8509 would abort and signal top is formed instead, risk weakness to 0.8460-65 break there would add credence to this view and further fall to 0.8435-40 would follow.

Our preferred count is that, after forming a major top at 0.9805 (wave V), (A)-(B)-(C) correction is unfolding with (A) leg ended at 0.8400 (A: 0.8637, B: 0.9491 and 5-waver C ended at 0.8400. Wave (B) has ended at 0.9413 and impulsive wave (C) has either ended at 0.8067 or may extend one more fall to 0.8000 before prospect of another rally. Current breach of indicated resistance at 0.9043 confirms our view that the (C) leg has ended and bring stronger rebound towards 0.9150/54, then towards 0.9240/50.

 

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