EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1813; (P) 1.1841 (R1) 1.1888; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for the moment. Pull back from 1.2091 should have completed at 1.1669, ahead of 1.1661 support. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.2091 high. We’ll be cautious on strong resistance from there to bring another fall to extend the consolidation. On the downside, below 1.1794 minor support will turn bias back to the downside and could extend the correction from 1.2091 through 1.1669.

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 1.0339 is not finished yet. It’s expected to continue after pull back from 1.2091 completes. And, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. However, it should be noted that there is no confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, such rebound from 1.0399 could be a correction. And the long term fall from 1.6039 (2008 high) could resume. Hence, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.2516 to limit upside.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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