Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1745; (P) 1.1773 (R1) 1.1822; More…..
EUR/USD’s sharp fall and firm break of 1.1713 minor support suggests that corrective rise form 1.1509 has completed at 1.1851 already. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 1.1509 low first. Break will resume larger down trend from 1.2555 to 50% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447. On the upside, above 1.1851 will extends the corrective rise from 1.1509. But as noted before, upside should be limited by 1.1995 resistance to bring down trend resumption eventually.
In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 and below. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.
