Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7206; (P) 0.7282; (R1) 0.7323; More…
AUD/USD recovers notably after dipping to 0.7237. But still intraday bias stays on the downside with 0.7302 minor resistance intact. Corrective rise from 0.7201 should have completed at 0.7381. Deeper fall is expected to 0.7201 low first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend from 0.8135. In that case, 0.7158 medium term support will be the next target. On the upside, above 0.7302 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. And, even in case that correction from 0.7201 extends with another rise, we’d expect upside to be limited by 0.7452 resistance to bring larger down trend resumption eventually.
In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.6826 (2016 low) is seen as a corrective move that should be completed at 0.8135. Fall from there would extend to have a test on 0.6826. There is prospect of resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). But we’ll look at downside momentum to assess at a later stage. On the upside, break of 0.7452 resistance, however, will indicate medium term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. In that case, a correction should be seen first, with stronger rebound would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.8135 to 0.7201 at 0.7558. The down trend from 0.8135 will resume after the correction completes.
