Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1116; (P) 1.1154; (R1) 1.1176; More…
EUR/USD’s break of 1.1133 minor support argues that rebound from 1.1026 has completed at 1.1249 already, after failing to sustain above 55 day EMA. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 1.1026 low. Firm break there will extend the downtrend from 1.2555. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 1.1282 to limit upside.
In the bigger picture, current development suggests that down trend from 1.2555 (2018) is in progress and extending. Prior rejection of 55 week EMA also maintained bearishness. Further fall should be seen to 78.6% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.0813. Decisive break there will target 1.0339 (2017 low). On the upside, break of 1.1412 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.
