EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1617; (P) 1.1658; (R1) 1.1705; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral first with 4H MACD crossed below signal line. Further rise is expected as long as 1.1526 support holds. As noted before, correction from 1.1829 should have completed with three waves down to 1.1390. Above 1.1698 will target 1.1788/1820 resistance zone. On the downside, however, break of 1.1526 minor support will dampen this view and bring retest of 1.1390 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 long term bottom could be correcting the multi-decade downtrend or the start of a long term up trend. In either case, further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1604 support holds.

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