Dollar at Risk of Extended Correction as Election Volatility Fades
Significant volatility was seen in the global financial markets last week, driven by the highly anticipated US presidential election. Contrary to expectations of a tight contest, Donald Trump secured a comfortable victory over Kamala Harris, with the Republican Party also achieving a "Red Sweep" by taking control of both...
Dollar Rebounds, Suggesting Post-Election Bullish Sentiment Remains Intact
Dollar regained some strength in early US session, after a volatile week marked by high-profile events, including the US presidential election and Fed’s rate decision. The greenback's pullback from its post-election spike now appears to be more of a consolidation rather than reversal of its bullish momentum. However, Dollar...
Yen Rebounds as Japan and South Korea Signal Readiness to the Region’s Currency Markets
Yen jumps broadly in Asian trading today, boosted by heightened government warnings against the recent selloff on the currency. Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato issued a strong statement addressing the “one-sided and drastic moves” in Yen, confirming that the government is monitoring the situation with the “utmost sense of...
Dollar Reverses Post-Election Gains as Markets Seek Clarity on Fed’s Rate Path
Dollar continued to weaken in early US session, erasing the strong gains it enjoyed following Donald Trump's election victory. The greenback has turned negative for the week against several major currencies, suggesting that the initial post-election optimism has waned. Investors are now shifting their attention to Fed's upcoming rate...
Dollar Retreats as Markets Stabilize Post-Election; Focus Shifts to BoE and FOMC
Dollar saw a modest pullback in Asian session today, easing off its sharp post-election rally as market enthusiasm stabilized. US equities, including DOW, S&P 500, and NASDAQ, all closed at record highs overnight on strong gains, with DOW particularly outperforming. Meanwhile, 10-year Treasury yield surged to a crucial Fibonacci...
Dollar Stays Strong on Trump’s Win While Republicans Sweep Congress
Following Donald Trump's clear victory over Kamala Harris in the US presidential election, accompanied by a full Republican “Red Sweep” in Congress, US futures, Treasury yields, and the Dollar all surged sharply higher. Markets are responding favorably to expansionary fiscal policies, tax cuts, and a pro-growth agenda under the...
Trump’s North Carolina Victory Boosts Dollar and Yields, Bitcoin Hits New High
Dollar rallied sharply today after news broke that Republican candidate Donald Trump defeated Democrat Kamala Harris in North Carolina, a crucial battleground state. This win is considered a pivotal move toward Trump’s return to office, sparking significant moves across financial markets. US stock futures responded with enthusiasm, with DOW...
Currency Markets Steady as US Election Looms, Kiwi Eyes Key Employment Data
Global currency markets are treading water today, as all eyes turn to the US presidential election, where Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are in a dead heat. Adding to the suspense, the Congressional elections will determine the president’s ability to push policy forward effectively, making the stakes especially high....
No Dovish Shift from RBA, Aussie Holds Ground with Rate Cut Delays Possible
Australian Dollar remained stable after RBA decided to keep the cash rate unchanged at 4.35% as widely expected. In the post-meeting press conference, Governor Michelle Bullock acknowledged that there has been "good progress" in reducing inflation. However, the central bank did not adopt a more dovish stance, which came...
Dollar Struggles as Safe Havens Strengthen Ahead of US Election; RBA Holds Key Focus Tomorrow
Dollar remains the weakest currency in the lead-up to the US presidential election, though its downside appears contained as early selling momentum in Asia has not extended into European session. Safe-haven currencies, led by the Swiss Franc and Yen, are gaining as US and European Treasury yields retreat. Among...
Dollar Slides as Harris Takes Iowa Lead; FOMC Adds to High-Stakes Election Week
Dollar took a notable downturn in the Asian session, and picking up downward momentum too, following a weekend poll that showed Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris edging ahead of former President Donald Trump in Iowa.
Although Harris’s 47% to 44% lead falls within the 3.4% margin of error, this development...
Dollar Dominance Temporarily Halts Pre-Election, Upside Potential Remains
Dollar, which has dominated currency markets in recent weeks, finally eased back last week. But this retreat does not necessarily indicate a reversal of its upward momentum. Instead, the greenback appears to be taking a breather ahead of the impending US presidential election. Closing as the second strongest performer...
Dollar Falls on Weak NFP Job Growth, But Losses Remain Limited
Dollar saw broad-based weakness in early US session following a much weaker-than-expected non-farm payroll report. Headline job growth came in well below forecasts, though market reaction remains tempered, as the data is widely believed to be heavily skewed by recent hurricanes and strikes. With unemployment rate holding steady and...
Sterling Slides on Budget Fallout; US Stocks Tumble Ahead of NFP
Sterling has faced significant selling pressure as markets reacted negatively to the Labour government's budget announcement. Some analysts draw comparisons to the free fall following former Prime Minister Liz Truss's mini-budget two years ago. Yet, the current selloff is notably milder. The focus now is on whether Sterling can...
Euro Gains as Inflation Data Strengthens Hawkish Case for ECB
Euro strengthened broadly after Eurozone's flash CPI revealed stronger-than-expected increase in headline inflation, while the decline in core inflation has come to a halt. This data, coupled with the better-than-anticipated GDP figures released yesterday, has provided substantial support to the hawks within ECB. There appears to be no immediate...
Yen Recovers as BoJ Holds Rates; Euro Strengthens Ahead of Inflation Data
Yen recovers broadly today after BoJ left interest rates unchanged, and largely maintained the economic projections unchanged too. The direction of monetary policy remains clear as the next move is a hike if the outlook is realized. Yet, BoJ dropped no clue on the timing. Data from Japan were...
Dollar Gains on Strong Job Data as Euro Rebounds on GDP
Dollar strengthened in the early session, buoyed by surprisingly strong ADP private sector job data that far outpaced expectations. This robust employment figure has bolstered optimism for Friday’s upcoming non-farm payrolls report, which many anticipate will confirm sustained strength in the US labor market. With job growth remaining solid,...
Aussie Struggles Persist as Disinflation Raises Rate Cut Prospects
Australian Dollar's misery continues today, firstly pressured by Q3 inflation data that showed encouraging progress on disinflation. This development has strengthened the case for RBA to keep interest rates unchanged at 4.35% in its upcoming meeting next week. More importantly, a rate cut in February now appears more probable...
Dollar Gains as Bond Yields Surge, Bitcoin Breaks Above 70K on Post-Election Hopes
Dollar extended its broad gains today, bolstered by the jump in US 10-year Treasury yield, which surpassed 4.3% as expectations grow for an expansive fiscal agenda following the US presidential election. In parallel, Bitcoin has surged past 70K for the first time since June, driven by speculation that post-election...
Aussie Sinks ahead of CPI as China Stimulus Optimism Fades
Aussie fell broadly today as pressured by a combination of factor. A significant contributor is the strengthening greenback, supported by expectations of slower-than-anticipated Fed easing cycle and rising yields driven by US presidential election considerations. Another factor weighing on Aussie is the waning enthusiasm for China's stimulus measures, mirrored...