Vaccine News Solidify Risk On Mode; But Yen Selling Lacks Conviction
News of coronavirus vaccine readiness was the biggest market mover last week, solidifying near term risk-on sentiments. Subsequent price actions in major global indices were clearly corrective looking, setting the stage for further rally. Swiss Franc and Yen ended as the worst performing ones, followed by Canadian Dollar, which...
Yen Extending Recovery as Treasury Yields Dip
Yen appears to be trying to reverse the losses posted earlier this week, as helped by pull back in treasury yields. US 10-year yield is trading at around 0.88 a the time of writing, well below this week's high at 0.975. German 10-year yield is also back pressing -0.55...
Yen Recovers Further as Stocks Pull Back Continues
Commodity currencies turn softer today, following pull back in stocks. On the other hand, Yen, Swiss Franc and Dollar are gaining some grounds. Euro and Sterling are mixed on the sideline. Over the week, Kiwi remains the strongest one, followed by Dollar and then Sterling. Swiss Franc and Yen...
US Crude Inventory Increased, Curbing Price Rebound
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products (ex. SPR) stocks plunged -16.8 mmb to 1402.34 mmb in the week ended November 6. Crude oil inventory gained +4.28 mmb (consensus: -0.91 mmb) to 488.71 mmb. Stockpile increased in 2 out...
Sterling Reverses after GDP, Dollar Ignores Jobless Claims and CPI
Sterling suffers notable selling today after slightly weaker than expected Q3 GDP data. Though, pull back against Euro could be a bigger driver for the profit-taking. Elsewhere, better than expected US job data and worse than expected Eurozone production data were generally ignored. For now, Aussie is following the...
Yen Paring Losses as Markets Turn to Consolidation, Oil Faces Resistance
The financial markets are staying in consolidative mode. Asian stocks are mixed in tight range, following the mixed closes in US overnight. Gold is trading sideway ahead of key near term support. In the currency markets, Yen and Swiss France are mildly higher, paring some of this week's losses....
New Zealand Dollar Rises after RBNZ, US Yield Resilient
New Zealand Dollar surges broadly today as markets see that RBNZ has less need to cut into negative next year. Kiwi's strength is somewhat taking Aussie higher too. On the other hand, Sterling is paring some of yesterday's strong gain while Dollar is following as second weakest for now....
Chance of Negative OCR Reduces as RBNZ More Confident About Economic Outlook
RBNZ announced that a Funding for Lending Program (FLP) will be implemented in “early December” with an initial size of about NZD 28B. Further details will be announced in coming weeks. The program aims at providing loans to commercial banks at low cost (e.g.: 0.25%). The central bank left...
Sterling Surges on Johnson’s Defeat in Lords, Markets Mixed Elsewhere
Sterling surges broadly today, as traders apparently cheers Prime Minister Boris Johnson's defeat in the Lords regarding his internal market bill. But the forex markets are relatively quiet elsewhere. New Zealand Dollar is currently the second strongest, following the Pound. Swiss Franc is the weakest, followed by Canadian and...
China Data – Inflation Slowed Markedly on Food Price; Trade Surplus Widened as Exports Growth Strongly
China’s inflation moderated in October. Headline CPI eased sharply to +0.5% y/y, from +1.7% a month ago. The decline was mainly driven by food price, of which growth decelerated to +2.2% from September’s +7.9%. Non-food price actually stayed flat at 0%, while core CPI also steadied at +0.5%. Concerning...
Markets Mixed as Vaccine Boost Fades, Dollar Support by Yields
The forex markets turned mixed in Asian session today as the boost from coronavirus vaccine faded quickly. The close in US stocks overnight was rather disappointing and DOW ended up just 2.95%. NASDAQ has indeed closed with -1.53% loss. In the currency markets, Yen is trying to recover but...
Gold Got Dumped on Vaccine Hopes and Removal of Election Overhang
Pfizer coronavirus vaccine news has sharply lifted market sentiment. As the positive news raised hopes that the pandemic will soon be under control and global economy will be back on track, gold price, a traditional safe-haven asset, dived. The benchmark Comex contract slumped almost US$100/oz to settle at US$1853.2/oz....
Yen Selling Takes Off as World in Euphoria on Coronavirus Vaccine News
The world, at least the financial markets part, is in euphoria today on news that tens of millions doses of coronavirus vaccine are ready this year, to pull it out of the coronavirus pandemic that took away over 1.2 millions lives. DOW future is in massive rally, up around...
Yen and Dollar Heading Lower as Asian Markets Rally
Yen and Dollar weaken generally in Asian session today as strong risk appetite continues. Notable rally is also seen in gold today, extending its near term rally. New Zealand Dollar is currently leading other commodity currencies higher. European majors are generally mixed. Focus would turn to the neverending Brexit...
RBNZ Preview – Introducing New Lending Program with Dovish Tone Maintained
The focus of this week's RBNZ meeting is on details of the Funding for Lending (FLP) program. We expect this program would be implemented before the end of the year and would be the key policy tool of the central bank in the future. Concerning other monetary measures, the...
Stocks Ready for Upside Breakout, But Yen Crosses Seem Not Agreeing
Politics aside, stock investors were the biggest winners of US presidential elections, while Dollar holders were the losers. The greenback ended as the worst performing one, followed by Yen by a wide margin. Australian Dollar shrugged of RBA easing and ended as the strongest, leading other commodity currencies. European...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – USD’s Weakness Expected to Lift NET LENGTH in Precious Metals Next Week
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended November 3, NET LENGTH for crude oil futures plunged -29 360 contracts to 442 460 for the week. Speculative long position declined -20 633 contracts, while shorts gained +8 997 contracts. For refined oil products, NET LENGTH...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – USD Index Futures to Return to NET SHORT Next Week as US election Results Get Clearer
The latest CFTC Commitments of Traders report covered the period just before the US presidential election. During the week, bets on US futures slipped on both sides amidst the highly uncertain election outcome. With Joe Biden on the way to become the next president, risk appetite has increased significantly....
Dollar Selling Continues Despite Solid NFP, Euro Surges
Dollar's selloff continues today despite stronger than expected employment data. Though, selling focus has turned to against Euro and Swiss Franc. Australian Dollar is taking a breather, together with global stock markets. There is no doubt that Dollar will end as the worst performing one for the week, followed...
Dollar Remains the Weakest While US Stocks Could Make New Record High
Dollar's decline is slowing a little bit in Asian session but there is no sign of a turnaround. The greenback remains the worst performing one for the week, followed by Yen, on strong risk-on markets. Australian Dollar is the strongest one, followed by other commodity currencies. FOMC meeting overnight...