USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9397; (P) 0.9467; (R1) 0.9542; More

USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.9181 resumed by taking out 0.9568. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Sustained break of 0.9613 support turned resistance will indicate bullish reversal and target 0.9484 resistance and above. On the other hand, rejection by 0.9613 will retain near term bearishness. Break of 0.9391 will turn bias to the downside for retesting 0.9181/6 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). As long as 0.9613 support turned resistance holds, further fall could be seen to 100% projection 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081. However, firm break of 0.9613 will suggest that 0.9186 key support (2018 low) was defended. USD/CHF should have then started another rising leg in the long term range pattern, towards resistance zone of 1.0237 and 1.0342 (2016 high).

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0054; (P) 1.0074; (R1) 1.0092; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as the consolidation from 1.0107 continues. Outlook is unchanged that corrective fall from 1.0342 should have finished with three waves down to 0.9812. Hence, downside of retreat should be contained by 0.9980 support and bring rally resumption. Above 1.0107 will target 1.0169 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm this bullish case and target 1.0342 key resistance next. However, below 0.9980 will dampen this bullish case and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9812 low.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintain that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the cross. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 to 0.9812 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9580; (P) 0.9599; (R1) 0.9631; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside as rise from 0.9181 is in progress for 0.9848 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of whole fall from 1.0237 and target 1.0023 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9566 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Further rise could be seen to retest 1.0237 high. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some time.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8743; (P) 0.8764; (R1) 0.8797; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, sustained break of 0.8741 will argue that the whole rebound from 0.8332 might have completed, and bring deeper fall to 0.8550 support. Nevertheless, strong bounce from current level will retain near term bullishness. Further break of 0.8891 will resume the rise from 0.8332.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom as seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rise would be seen as long as 0.8555 support holds. But upside should be limited by 0.9243 resistance, at least on first attempt.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9887; (P) 0.9925; (R1) 0.9979; More….

Further rally could be seen in USD/CHF for now. But considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, upside should be limited by 261.8% projection of 0.9149 to 0.9459 from 0.9193 at 1.0005 to bring correction. On the downside, break of 0.9826 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for pull back.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Sustained trading above 100% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 0.9864 will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 1.0306, which is close to 1.0342 (2016 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9459 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8482; (P) 0.8507; (R1) 0.8549; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral at this point. Consolidation from 0.8332 is in progress and stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8665 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8332 will resume larger fall from 0.9243 to 0.8257 projection level.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 from 0.9243 at 0.8257. Sustained break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.7648. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9213; (P) 0.9236; (R1) 0.9279; More….

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Further rise will remain mildly in favor as long as 0.9090 support holds. break of 0.9372 will resume the choppy rally from 0.8925 to 0.9471 high. However, break of 0.9090 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8925 support instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9390; (P) 0.9415; (R1) 0.9444; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for the moment. Current rise from 0.8756 should target 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464. Break there will target 0.9901 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9369 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But overall outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.9221 support holds.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.8756, on bullish condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8776; (P) 0.8794; (R1) 0.8803; More….

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as consolidation from 0.8884 is still in progress. Intraday bias stays neutral at this point. With 0.8727 resistance turned support intact, further rally is expected. On the upside, above 0.8884 will resume the rise from 0.8332 towards 0.9243 resistance. However, sustained break of 0.8727 will dampen this bullish view, and turn bias back to the downside for 0.8550 support instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be formed at 0.8332, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD, just ahead of 0.8317 long term fibonacci support. It’s still early to decide if the larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is reversing. But further rise should be seen to 0.9243 resistance even as a correction.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9637; (P) 0.9655; (R1) 0.9680; More

With 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line, intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first. Consolidation from 0.9613 is in progress and could extend with another recovery. But upside should be limited by 0.9766 resistance. On the downside, decisive break of 0.9613 will resume whole down trend from 1.0237. Next target is 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9659 from 1.0023 at 0.9445.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8862; (P) 0.8886; (R1) 0.8919; More….

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation above 0.8851 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 0.8982 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.8851 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746 next.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9304 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9031; (P) 0.9087; (R1) 0.9118; More

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9058 support suggests that the down trend from 1.0146 is finally resuming. Intraday bias is now back on the downside. Sustained break of 38.2% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9058 from 0.9439 at 0.9023 will pave the way to 61.8% projection at 0.8767.On the upside, above 0.9141 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9439 resistance holds, and fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is still in progress. Prior rejection by 55 week EMA was a medium term bearish sign. Sustained of 0.9058 will resume such decline towards 0.8756 support (2021 low). But overall, this fall is still as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9217; (P) 0.9240; (R1) 0.9273; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for the moment Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.9471 to 0.8925 at 0.9262 will pave the way to retest 0.9471 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9141 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is currently neutral with focus on 0.9471 resistance. Sustained break there will indicate completion of whole decline from 1.0342 (2016 high). Medium term outlook will be turned bullish for a test on 1.0342 high. But, rejection by 0.9471 again will revive bearishness for another fall through 0.8756 low.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9714; (P) 0.9737; (R1) 0.9778; More…..

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as the consolidation from 0.9613 continues. Intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. As long as 0.9807 resistance holds, near term outlook remains bearish and deeper fall is expected. Below 0.9613 will extend the whole decline from 1.0342 to 0.9548 support and below. We’d start to look for bottoming signal again as it approaches 0.9443 key support level. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9807 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level. However, sustained break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9 handle.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

Despite dipping to 0.9843 last week, USD/CHF quickly recovered. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9983 resistance should confirm completion of whole fall from 1.0237. Further rise should then be seen to retest 1.0237. On the downside, break of 0.9843 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9798 support.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.0237 suggests that it’s a corrective move. Sustained break of 0.9975 will argue that such correction has completed at 0.9659, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9541; (P) 0.9598; (R1) 0.9652; More

With 0.9654 minor resistance, intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside. Current decline from 1.0237 would target 100% projection of 1.0023 to 0.9613 from 0.9848 at 0.9438. On the upside, break of 0.9654 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited well below 0.9848 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and rejection by 55 week EMA affirms bearishness. Such decline could target 0.9186 (2018 low) and below. In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9713; (P) 0.9745; (R1) 0.9761; More…..

USD/CHF’s consolidation from 0.9691 temporary low is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral. Another recovery cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 0.9858 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption. Whole decline from 1.0342 is still in progress and below 0.9691 will target 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0099 at 0.9617. We’ll start to look for reversal signal below there.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0028; (P) 1.0051; (R1) 1.0096; More…..

USD/CHF formed a temporary low at 0.9995 and intraday bias is turned neutral. But with 1.0135 minor resistance intact, deeper fall could be seen. Rise from 0.9443 could have completed at 1.0342 already, after failing to sustain above 1.0327 key resistance. Below 0.9995 will target 0.9443/9548 support zone. On the upside, above 1.0135 minor resistance will turn focus back to 1.0342 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, rejection from 1.0327 resistance suggests that consolidation pattern from there is still in progress. Fall from 1.0342 is seen as the third leg and retest of 0.9443/9548 support zone could be seen. But we’d expect strong support from there to contain downside. At this point, we’re still extend the larger rally to resume later to 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

Subscribe to our daily and mid-day newsletter to get this report delivered to your mail box

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9904; (P) 0.9927; (R1) 0.9961; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 0.9984 will resume the rebound from 0.9866 to retest 1.0067 high. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 0.9186. On the downside, below 0.9894 might extend the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 with another decline. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending with another leg. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we’d expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 0.9724 fibonacci level will bring deeper fall, as another declining leg in the long term range pattern.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9938; (P) 0.9957; (R1) 0.9969; More

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation from 0.9879 temporary low and intraday bias stays neutral. As long as 1.0010 resistance holds, further decline remains in favor. On the downside, below 0.9879 will resume the fall from 1.0124 to 0.9716 key support. Nevertheless, break of 1.0010 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0124/28 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on medium term trend line (now at 0.9849). Decisive break there will argue that whole rise from 0.9186 has completed. Further break of 0.9716 will confirm reversal and target next support level at 0.9541. Nevertheless, there is still a chance that price action from 1.0128 are forming a consolidative pattern with fall from 1.0124 as third leg. If this is the case, stronger support should be seen between 0.9716 and the trend line to contain downside.