It appears that equity markets have taken inspiration from the performance on Wall Street at the conclusion of last week, with Asian stocks trading broadly higher and European shares looking positive at the time of writing. The "Goldilocks" US jobs report seems to have acted as a catalyst to help risk sentiment, with the mixed nature of the June jobs report providing a platform of a support for the USD, while exciting equity bulls as strong job growth is a characteristic of a healthy economy, with the tepid wage growths suggesting a slower pace of monetary changes from the Federal Reserve.

With both the Asian and European markets marching into the new trading week on solid footing and investors appearing optimistic over the current outlook for the global economy, Wall Street could be in line to trade higher this afternoon

OPEC turns to Nigeria and Libya

- advertisement -

It’s quite remarkable how the supply cut exemptions from some OPEC members have come back to punish the cartel, as production in June climbed to the highest level so far in 2017. With the increasing output from Nigeria and Libya threatening to disrupt the efforts made by the rest of the group to rebalance the markets and not being something that was priced in, the price of oil could remain under pressure. There are reports circulating over the possibility that OPEC will request both Nigeria and Libya to cut production and while these might read as desperate, increased production from both nations was likely not factored into consideration when OPEC greed to extend its production cut. With the oversupply dynamics still weighing heavily on the mind of investors, the price of oil remains under pressure as oversupply remains the name of the game when it comes to price fluctuations

Dollar regains its footing

The Greenback stood tall during Monday’s trading session as investors digested June’s mixed employment report. While the impressive NFP headline number of 222k boosted sentiment towards the US economy and supported expectations of the Federal Reserve raising rates, the tepid wage growth fanned concerns over inflation lagging for prolonged periods. Although June’s "Goldilocks" report may inspire Dollar bullish investors, the upside could still face headwinds as the lower inflation levels suggest a slower pace of monetary changes from the Federal Reserve. With the economic calendar fairly light today, price action may dictate where the Dollar Index trades with bulls eyeing 96.40.

Investors will be paying very close attention to Janet Yellen’s testimony on Wednesday and Thursday for clues on when the central bank plans to unwind its balance sheet and raise US interest rates in the second half of 2017. It will be interesting to hear Yellen’s thoughts on the latest jobs and inflation data and if she maintains her hawkish tone.

Commodity spotlight – Gold

Gold was under renewed selling pressure on Monday as the combination of Dollar strength and rising prospects of tighter global monetary policies punished the zero-yielding metal. With June’s mixed jobs report supporting expectations of the Federal Reserve taking action this year, bears seem to be back. It will be interesting to see how prices react to the $1200 support and if buyers use this opportunity to propel the metal higher. From a technical standpoint, the yellow metal is coming under increasing selling pressure on the daily charts. The breakdown below $1214 may encourage a further decline towards $1200.

Previous articleWill the Bank of Canada Pull the Trigger?
Next articleEuro Firm as Sentix Stayed Closed to 10 Year High, Markets in Range Trading
The FXTM brand provides international brokerage services and gives access to the global currency markets, offering trading in forex, precious metals, Share CFDs, ETF CFDs and CFDs on Commodity Futures. Trading is available via the MT4 and MT5 platforms with spreads starting from just 1.3 on Standard trading accounts and from 0.1 on ECN trading accounts. Bespoke trading support and services are provided based on each client's needs and ambitions - from novices, to experienced traders and institutional investors. ForexTime Limited is regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), with license number 185/12, licensed by South Africa's FSB with FSP number 46614, and registered with the UK FCA under reference number 600475. FT Global Limited is regulated by the International Financial Services Commission (IFSC) with license numbers IFSC/60/345/TS and IFSC/60/345/APM.


Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.