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Brexit parliamentary vote to be held on Jan 15
BBC reported that the Commons will vote on Prime Minister Theresa May's Brexit deal on Tuesday January 15. And May will give her last efforts to give further assurances that the controversial Irish backstop solution is only temporary. MPs are invited to meet with May tomorrow.
Over 200 MPs had signed a letter to May urging her to rule out a no-deal Brexit. However, former foreign minister Boris Johnson wrote in Daily Telegraph arguing that no-deal Brexit, "otherwise known as coming out on World Trade terms" is "closest to what people actually voted for" in the 2016 EU referendum.
Separately, a YouGov poll published on Sunday should that if a referendum were held immediately, 46% of Britons would vote to remain in the EU, 39% would vote to leave. Removing those undecided or refused to answer, the split was 54-46 in favor of remaining.
China foreign ministry: Trade friction is not a positive situation for US, China and the world
China and the US are holding vice ministerial trade negotiation in Beijing today. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Lu Kang said that "From the beginning we have believed that China-U.S. trade friction is not a positive situation for either country or the world economy. China has the good faith, on the basis of mutual respect and equality, to resolve the bilateral trade frictions."
Lu added, "As for whether the Chinese economy is good or not, I have already explained this. China's development has ample tenacity and huge potential". And, "We have firm confidence in the strong long-term fundamentals of the Chinese economy."
Trump said on Sunday that "I think China wants to get it resolved. Their economy's not doing well... "I think that gives them a great incentive to negotiate."
Trade War, Brexit & The Volatility
In the forex market, there is no shortage of volatility after the recent events which brought historic moves in the Aussie and the Japanese yen. Of course, the major reason behind those moves was the ongoing trade war between the US and China. Traders are expecting this volatility to stay here for a while because, in the coming weeks events like; Brexit, the discussion around the trade war including the debt situation around the Italian banks are going to keep things interesting among the G-7 currencies. The below chat shows that the volatility for the G-7 pairs has spiked and there is no sign of it losing the momentum.
With Westminister returning today, Sterling could be the most interesting currency to keep a close eye because we have only three months left before the Brexit deadline expires and if there is no deal, the UK will be pushed out of the European Union without any deal. The country’s economy is clearly at risk because the bureaucratic barriers will suffocate the economy. The Prime minister has already made it clear on Sunday that the vote for her current deal will go ahead. She is hopeful to win support for the agreement. If she doesn’t secure the vote in the parliament, the probabilities of another referendum will be even higher.
Back in the equity markets, European markets and US futures are trading higher and investors are ready to build on the gains that we have seen on Friday. Asian markets have kicked off the week on positive momentum, thanks to the soothing comments by the Chairman of the Federal Reserve bank, Jerome Powell who said that the Fed is flexible in their approach and paying close attention to the markets.
As for the trade war, the officials from China-US will start the trade negotiations today and as always the hope is to secure a deal. The 90-day truce period is running out and both sides need to make sure that a deal is done within this period.








