AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7210; (P) 0.7229; (R1) 0.7245; More…

AUD/USD drops notably after failing to sustained above 4 hour 55 EMA. Focus is back on 0.7199 support. Sustained trading below 0.7199 will confirm completion of corrective rebound from 0.7020. And, deeper fall should then be seen back to retest 0.7020 low. On the upside, above 0.7246 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside. In that case, corrective rise from 0.7020 would extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.8135 to 0.7020 at 0.7446 before completion.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom is in place at 0.7020 ahead of 0.6826 key support (2016 low). Stronger rebound might be seen to correct the whole fall from 0.8135 high. But we’d expect strong resistance from 0.7500 support turned resistance to limit upside. Medium term fall from 0.8135 should resume and extend to take on 0.6826 low at a later stage, after the correction from 0.7020 completes.

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