Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6949; (P) 0.6958; (R1) 0.6969; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains mildly on the downside at this point. Corrective recovery from 0.6864 could have completed at 0.7022 already. Deeper fall would be seen back to retest 0.6864 low. Decisive break there will resume whole fall from 0.7295. On the upside, break of 0.7022 will resume the rebound to 0.7069 resistance instead.

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In the bigger picture, with 0.7393 key resistance intact, medium term outlook remains bearish. The decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.


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