Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5769; (P) 1.5814; (R1) 1.5861; More….

EUR/AUD’s breach of 1.5887 resistance indicates resumption of rise from 1.5346. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.5984 support turned resistance first. Break will pave the way to retest 1.6357 high next. On the downside, break of 1.5086 minor support will delay the bullish case and extend the consolidation from 1.5887 with another fall.

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In the bigger picture, no change in the view that 1.6357 is a medium term top. But the strong rebound ahead of 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313) suggests price actions from 1.6357 are developing into sideway consolidation, rather than a deep correction. The range of 1.5271/6357 is likely set for the consolidation. And we don’t expect a break of the range any time soon. But decisive break of 1.6357 will resume the larger up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) to 1.6587 (2015 high).


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