EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3993; (P) 1.4034; (R1) 1.4072; More

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the downside for the moment. Current decline is part of the whole fall from 1.6250 and should target 1.3671 key support level next. As the larger decline from 1.6587 is seen as a corrective move, we’d expect downside to be contained by 1.3671 to bring reversal. On the upside, break of 1.4289 resistance will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 1.4721 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a consolidative pattern. 50% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.6587 at 1.4095 was already met. While further fall cannot be ruled out, we’d expect strong support above 1.3671 to contain downside and bring rebound. Up trend from 1.1602 should not be finished and will resume later. Break of 1.4721 resistance will indicate completion of such correction and outlook bullish for retesting 1.6587 high.

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