EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5998; (P) 1.6029; (R1) 1.6083; More….

Break of 1.6059 resistance suggests that pull back from 1.6189 has completed at 1.5773 already. More importantly, larger rise from 1.3624 is likely still in progress. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 1.6189 first. Firm break there will target 1.6587 key resistance. On the downside, below 1.5963 minor support will turn focus back to 1.5773 instead.

In the bigger picture, while there is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, there is no clear sign of reversal yet. EUR/AUD also drew strong support from 55 day EMA and rebounded. Current rally from 1.3624 could still extend to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nonetheless, we’d expect further loss of upside momentum, and strong resistance from 1.6587 to limit upside and bring reversal.

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