EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6003; (P) 1.6030; (R1) 1.6067; More….

EUR/AUD’s fall continues today and reaches as low as 1.5910 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.5773 support and possibly below. For the moment, price actions from 1.6189 are seen as a consolidation pattern. Hence, downside should be contained above 1.5621 to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 1.6055 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 1.6189 high again.

In the bigger picture, while there is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, there is no clear sign of reversal yet. EUR/AUD also drew strong support from 55 day EMA and rebounded. Current rally from 1.3624 could still extend to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nonetheless, we’d expect further loss of upside momentum, and strong resistance from 1.6587 to limit upside and bring reversal. On the downside, sustained break of 1.5621 support should confirm reversal and turn outlook bearish for 1.5153 support and below.

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