EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0827; (P) 1.0843; (R1) 1.0854; More

EUR/CHF is losing downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But further fall is expected with 1.0905 resistance intact, for 1.0811 low. Decisive break there will resume long term down trend. On the upside, break of 1.0905 resistance will extend the consolidation from 1.0811 with another rising leg. In any case, upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to bring larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

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