EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8948; (P) 0.9021; (R1) 0.9058; More…

EUR/GBP’s rejection from 0.9097 was rather strong and it drops sharply to as low as 0.8971. For now, deeper pull back could be seen. But the cross is staying inside rising channel and well above 0.8895 support. Larger rally from 0.8620 is still expected to extend higher. Break of 0.9097 will target a test on 0.9305 high. Though, sustained break of channel support will be the first sign of reversal, and focus will be turned back to 0.8895 for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). The corrective structure of the fall from 0.9305 to 0.8620 is raising the chance that rise from 0.8312 to 0.9305 is an impulsive move. But we’re not too confident on it yet. In any case, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.

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