EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8912; (P) 0.8933; (R1) 0.8971; More…

EUR/GBP’s rally continues today and reaches as high as 0.8974 so far. Break of trendline in 4 hour MACD suggests upside re-acceleration. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 0.9101 key resistance next. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, break of 0.8871 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8527). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion, if upside is rejected by 0.9101.

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