EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8701; (P) 0.8730; (R1) 0.8753; More…

EUR/GBP dives to as low as 0.8666 today and breached 0.8686 briefly, before recovering. At this point, intraday bias stays on the downside with 0.8757 minor resistance intact, with focus on 0.8686 key support level. We’d be cautious on strong support from there to bring another rebound. But decisive break of 0.8686 will resume whole fall from 0.9305 and target 0.8303 key support next. On the upside, above 0.8757 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for recovery to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.8802) and above.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

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