EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8700; (P) 0.8719; (R1) 0.8741; More…

EUR/GBP drops to as low as 0.8656 so far and the break of 0.8666 confirms resumption of fall from 0.8967. More importantly, this should also indicate resumption of whole decline from 0.9305. Intraday bias is back on the downside, for 61.8% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8745 from 0.8967 at 0.8621 first. Sustained break there will page the way to 100% projection at 0.8407. On the upside, above 0.8691 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will now stay bearish as long as 0.8796 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

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