EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.06; (P) 128.38; (R1) 128.98; More….

Focus is now on 128.94 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will argue that fall from 137.49 has completed 124.61, ahead of 124.08 key support level. The three wave structure will indicate it’s a correction and the larger rally is not completed. In that case, further rise should be seen to 133.47 resistance next. On the downside, below 127.17 minor support will indicate rejection from 128.94 and bring retest of 124.61 first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress and another high above 137.49 would be seen. Nonetheless, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, decisive break of 124.08 will confirm medium term reversal and target 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

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