Fri, Feb 03, 2023 @ 17:37 GMT

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.80; (P) 139.78; (R1) 141.68; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first with current recovery. Outlook stays bearish as long as 142.92 resistance holds. Break of 137.37 will resume the decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 142.92 will argue that the correction from 148.38 might have completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 146.71 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.54) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

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