EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.70; (P) 132.16; (R1) 132.89; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally continues to as high as 132.61 so far. Breach of 132.40 resistance with solid upside momentum suggests decline from 137.49 has completed at 128.94 already. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 128.94 at 134.22 and above. On the downside, break of 131.09 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rebound will remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price action from 137.49 medium term top are developing into a corrective pattern. Strong support from 55 EMA (now at 129.91) suggests that the first leg has completed at 128.94 already. Nonetheless, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm resumption of the rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective range trading another, with risk of another fall to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 before completion.

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