EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.09; (P) 129.60; (R1) 129.98; More….

A temporary low is in place at 129.22 in EUR/JPY and intraday bias is turned neutral. Consolidation should be relatively brief as long as 4 hour 55 EMA holds (now at 130.98). Below 129.22 will target 128.94 support. Break will resume whole decline from 137.49 and target 61.8% projection of 137.49 to 128.94 from 133.47 at 128.18 next. Overall, near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 133.47 resistance holds and downside breakout is expected eventually.

In the bigger picture, for now, price actions from 137.49 are viewed as a corrective pattern only. Hence, while, deeper decline would be seen, strong support is expected at 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 to contain downside and bring rebound. Up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is expected to resume afterwards. Though, sustained break of 126.61 will be an important sign of trend reversal and will turn focus to 124.08 resistance turned support.

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