EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0878; (P) 1.0906 (R1) 1.0957; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. Overall outlook is unchanged, choppy rise from 1.0339 is seen as a corrective move. In case, of another rally, we’ll look for reversal signal again above 1.1020. Break of 1.0838 will turn bias to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.0770). Break there will argue that the corrective rise from 1.0339 is completed and target 1.0569 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. However, considering bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD, break of 1.1298 will indicate long term reversal.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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