EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1194; (P) 1.1207; (R1) 1.1220; More

EUR/USD’s recovery from 1.1193 temporary low extends further in US session. But upside is limited below 1.1268 minor resistance. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, firm break of 1.1181 support will confirm completion of rebound from 1.1107 at 1.1412. Further fall should then be see to retest 1.1107 low. On the upside, firm break of 1.1268 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for 1.1412 instead.

In the bigger picture, bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD suggests that 1.1107 is a medium term bottom. However, rejection by 55 EMA retains medium term bearish. Outlook will be neutral for now. On the downside, break of 1.1107 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) to 78.6% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.0813. Meanwhile, break of 1.1412 will resume the rebound to 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1107 at 1.1660.

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