EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2029; (P) 1.2106; (R1) 1.2151; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is mildly on the downside for the moment. Break of 1.2022 support should confirm the start of the third leg, towards 100% projection of 1.2348 to 1.1951 from 1.2242 at 1.1845. On the upside, above 1.2140 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. We’d be alerted to topping sign around 1.2516/55. But sustained break there will carry long term bullish implications.

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