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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1882; (P) 1.1900; (R1) 1.1930; More….

EUR/USD’s break of 1.1926 temporary top suggests resumption of rebound from 1.1703. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.1988 resistance. Firm break there should affirm the case that correction from 1.2348 has completed at 1.1703. EUR/USD should then target 1.2242 key resistance for confirmation. On the downside, below 1.1866 minor support will turn bias back to the downside back to 38.2% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2348 at 1.1694.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. However, sustained break of 1.1602 will argue that whole rise from 1.10635 has completed. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2348 at 1.1289.

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