EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0366; (P) 1.0443 (R1) 1.0486; More

A temporary low is formed at 1.0396 in EUR/USD and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Risk stays on the downside as long as 1.0786 resistance holds. Below 1.0396 will target 1.0039 long term support. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. Next target is long term projection level at 1.0090.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.0339 long term support (2017 low). Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 1.0090. However, firm break of 1.0805 support turned resistance will delay this bearish case, and bring stronger rebound first.

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