EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0466; (P) 1.0505; (R1) 1.0583; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside at this point. Rise from 0.9534 should target 1.0609 fibonacci level. Further rally is expected as long as 1.0289 support holds, in case of retreat. However, firm break of 1.0289 support will confirm short term topping and bring deeper decline back to 1.0092 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom was in place at 0.9534, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Even as a corrective rise, rally from 0.9534 should target 38.2% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.0609. Sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0566) will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.1273. However, rejection by 1.0609 will retain medium term bearishness for down trend resumption at a later stage.

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