EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0747; (P) 1.0822; (R1) 1.0864; More

EUR/USD’s break of 1.0779 support suggests that fall from 1.1138 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.0722 support. considering bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD, strong support could be seen there to bring rebound. But break of 1.0896 resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming first. Meanwhile, decisive break of 1.0722 will argue that whole rise from 1.0447 has completed, and target this low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is seen as the second leg. While further rally could cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.0722 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 1.0447 and possibly below.

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