GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.16; (P) 160.55; (R1) 161.05; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. Break of 158.49 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 155.33. Further break there will resume the fall from 172.11 to 153.70 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, firm break of 162.32 will argue that such decline has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 163.27) and above.

In the bigger picture, as long as 153.02 support turned resistance holds, decline from 172.11 medium term top is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 153.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

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