Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2666; (P) 1.2739; (R1) 1.2783; More…
GBP/USD’s decline is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.2661 low. Decisive break there will l resume larger down trend from 1.4376. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2661 from 1.3297 at 1.2237. On the upside, above 1.2777 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But for now, near term outlook will remain cautiously bearish as long as 1.2921 support turned resistance holds.
In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend. And this will be the preferred case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2661 at 1.3316 holds. However, firm break of 1.3316 would bring stronger rebound to 61.8% retracement at 1.3721. And, the eventual depth of the fall from 1.4376, and the chance of hitting 1.1946 low, will depend on the strength of the interim corrective rebound from 1.2661.
