Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2808; (P) 1.2883; (R1) 1.2922; More….

GBP/USD’s fall from 1.3217 continues to as low as 1.2784 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for further decline. As noted before, we’re holding on to the view that rebound from 1.2391 has completed at 1.3217 already, after rejection by 1.3174 key resistance. Further decline should be seen to retest 1.2391 low. On the upside, break of 1.2958 resistance is needed to be the first sign of short term bottoming. Otherwise, further decline is expected even in case of recovery.

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In the bigger picture, the rejection by 1.3174 key resistance revived the original view on GBP/USD. That is, decline from 1.4376 is possibly resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Firm break of 1.2391 will solidify this bearish case and target 1.1946 (2016 low). However, decisive break of 1.3174 will invalidate this bearish case again and turn outlook bullish.


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