GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4156; (P) 1.4200; (R1) 1.4273; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside. Rise from 1.3711 is in progress to retest 1.4345 high first. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend and target 61.8% projection of 1.3038 to 1.4345 from 1.3711 at 1.4519 next. On the downside, break of 1.4075 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound from 1.3711. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3038 support holds, medium term outlook in GBP/USD will remains bullish. Rise from 1.1946 is at least correcting the long term down from 2007 high at 2.1161. Further rally would be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466. However, GBP/USD fails to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 1.4259) so far. Break of 1.3038 support, will suggest that rise from 1.1946 has completed and will turn outlook bearish for retesting this low.

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