GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4151; (P) 1.4187; (R1) 1.4214; More….

GBP/USD lost momentum after hitting 1.4222, ahead of 1.4243 resistance, as seen in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Another rise is expected as long as 1.3964 support holds. Above 1.4222/43 will target 1.4345 high. Firm break of 1.4345 will resume medium term rally and target 61.8% projection of 1.3038 to 1.4345 from 1.3711 at 1.4519 next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3651 resistance turned support holds, medium term outlook in GBP/USD will remain bullish. Rise from 1.1946 is at least correcting the long term down trend from 2007 high at 2.1161. Further rally would be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466. However, GBP/USD fails to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 1.4267) so far. Break of 1.3651 will be the first sign of medium term reversal and turn focus to 1.3038 support for confirmation.

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