Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3043; (P) 1.3067; (R1) 1.3093; More

USD/CAD’s decline resumed by breaking 1.3037 and reaches as low as 1.3022 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Sustained trading below 1.3052/68 cluster support will carry larger bearish implication, and bring further fall to 1.2781 support next. On the upside, break of 1.3143 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

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In the bigger picture, medium term outlook stays neutral for now even though the case of bearish reversal is building up. Decisive break of 1.3068 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.3052) will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next. On the upside, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685, is needed to confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside.


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