Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2734; (P) 1.2767; (R1) 1.2815; More….
USD/CAD’s rebound from 1.2688 extends higher today, but stays below 1.2928 support turned resistance so far. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Outlook stays bearish for now and another decline is expected. On the downside, break of 1.2688 will resume larger down trend from 1.4677. However, on the upside, decisive break of 1.2928 should confirm short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Bias will be turned back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.3003) first.
In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Further decline should be seen back to 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.3389 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.
