USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2334; (P) 1.2366; (R1) 1.2394; More

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral with current recovery, and some consolidations should be seen first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 1.2592 support turned resistance to bring another fall. As noted before, rebound from 1.2005 should be finished at 1.2947. Below 1.2335 temporary low will target 161.8% projection of 1.2947 to 1.2492 from 1.2894 at 1.2158 next.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022 argues that rebound from 1.2005 is merely a corrective rise, which is complete. More importantly, the down trend from 1.4667 (2020 high). is not over yet. Sustained break of 1.2005 will extend the down trend to next long term fibonacci level at 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. In any case, outlook will not turn bullish as long as 1.2947 resistance holds.

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