USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2478; (P) 1.2521; (R1) 1.2556; More

USD/CAD’s fall from 1.2963 resumes by breaking 1.2452 and intraday bias is back on the downside. Current development argues that whole pattern from 1.2005 has completed with three waves to 1.2963. Below Further decline would be seen to 1.2286 support, possibly further to retest 1.2005 low. Nevertheless, on the upside, break of 1.2569 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, focus will be on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend form 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

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