USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2779; (P) 1.2816; (R1) 1.2855; More

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside for the moment. Current rise from 1.2401 should target 1.2899 resistance. Break there will target 1.3022 fibonacci level next. On the downside, however, break of 1.2683 minor support will mix up the near term outlook and turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

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