USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9820; (P) 0.9832; (R1) 0.9851; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with today’s retreat. On the upside, break of 0.9877 will extend the rebound from 0.9659 to 0.9975 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9773 minor support will suggest completion of recovery from 0.9659. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.9659 first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. Nevertheless, break of 0.9975 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline from 1.0237. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside.

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