USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.75; (P) 109.86; (R1) 109.99; More..

USD/JPY is staying in tight range below 110.14 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rally is in favor as long as 109.53 minor support holds. On the upside, break of 110.28 will resume whole rally from 104.45. Though, break of 109.53 will turn bias to the downside for 108.30 support instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise from 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

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