USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.21; (P) 128.64; (R1) 129.75; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral with current recovery. But overall, it’s staying in correction to rise from 114.40, and risk will stay mildly on the downside as long as 131.34 resistance holds. Another fall should be seen to 125.09 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 114.40 to 131.34 at 124.86).

In the bigger picture, current rally is seen as part of the long term up trend form 75.56 (2011 low). Sustained trading above 61.8% projection of 75.56 (2011 low) to 125.85 (2015 high) from 98.97 at 130.04 will pave the way to 100% projection at 149.26, which is close to 147.68 (1998 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 121.27 support holds.

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