USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.54; (P) 128.21; (R1) 129.18; More…

USD/JPY is still extending the consolidation from 127.20 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further decline will remains in favor as long as 134.76 resistance holds. Break of 127.20 will resume the fall from 151.93 to 121.43 fibonacci level next. Nevertheless, firm break of 134.76 will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 55 week EMA (now at 131.59) raises the chance of medium term bearish reversal, but that’s not confirmed yet. Strong support could be seen around 61.8% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 121.43 and 38.2% retracement of 38.2% retracement of 75.56 to 151.93 at 122.75 to bring rebound. But break of 134.76 resistance is needed to indicate bottoming first. Otherwise further fall will remain in favor.

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