USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.48; (P) 132.19; (R1) 133.14; More…

USD/JPY failed to break through 132.89 resistance and retreated, and intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, break of 132.89 will resume whole rebound from 127.20 short term bottom. Further rally should then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 151.93 to 127.20 at 136.64, even as a correction to the decline from 151.39. On the downside, break of 129.79 will bring retest of 127.20 low instead.

In the bigger picture, prior of 55 week EMA (now at 131.47) raises the chance of medium term bearish reversal, but that’s not confirmed yet. Strong rebound from current level, followed by sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 151.93 to 127.20 at 136.64 will argue that price actions from 151.93 is merely a corrective pattern. However, rejection by 136.64 will solidify medium term bearishness for 61.8% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 121.43 and 38.2% retracement of 75.56 to 151.93 at 122.75.

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