USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.07; (P) 109.41; (R1) 109.73; More…

USD/JPY’s rebound from 108.27 extends higher today. Break of 110.18 support turned resistance is taken as the first sign of near term reversal. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 111.47 resistance first. Sustained break there will also have 55 day EMA (now at 11.39) firmly taken out. In such case, further rise would be seen back to 113.38/114.73 resistance zone. On the downside, however, below 109.22 minor support will turn focus back to 108.27 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that the corrective pattern from 118.65 is extending. There is risk of dropping further to 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. But this level should provide strong support to contain downside and bring resumption of rise from 98.97. However, sustained break of 106.48 will now likely send USD/JPY through 98.97 to resume the corrective fall from 125.85 (2015 high).

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