Daily Pivots: (S1) 103.19; (P) 103.58; (R1) 104.20; More..
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains mildly on the upside at this point. As short term bottom should be in place at 102.58, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Further rise should be seen to channel resistance (now at 104.27). Sustained break there will suggest that down trend from 111.17 has completed and bring further rise to 105.67 resistance to confirm. Though, rejection by the channel resistance will keep near term outlook bearish, for extending the down trend through 102.58.
In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Hence, there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. The down trend could still extend through 101.18 low. On the upside, break of 106.10 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.
